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Israel-Iran Ceasefire Holds as Iran Suspends Nuclear Ties with IAEA

Israel-Iran Ceasefire Holds as Iran Suspends Nuclear Ties with IAEA
Above: Aftermath of an Israeli strike on the Evin Prison in north Tehran on June 23, 2025. Image copyright: NIKAN/Middle East Images/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

Despite the unprecedented success of Israel’s campaign against Iran, it's not over. Israel is instead entering a new phase of the conflict, which will build upon the achievements of the 12-day operation. While the ceasefire holds, however, the IDF will return its attention to Gaza, where it will continue efforts to free the hostages and dismantle Hamas.

Pro-Iran narrative

For the last fortnight, the IAEA has shown its true colors in its dealings with Iran, with its politically motivated resolution and its refusal to condemn Israel’s and America’s aggression, which was in flagrant violation of international law. Considering this, it is only fitting that Iran suspends cooperation with the UN watchdog until it can guarantee the safety of its facilities.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



Establishment split

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