Democratic Rep. Jasmine Crockett is running for the U.S. Senate in Texas Houston Public Media
Houston Public MediaDEC 2025
Crockett Enters Texas Senate Race, Allred Drops Out
Will Crockett's progressive record doom Democrats statewide, or energize new voters to break the GOP's 30-year hold on Texas?
Above: Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) in Los Angeles, Calif. on Nov. 24, 2025. Image credit: David Crane/Los Angeles Daily News/Getty Images
The Spin
Republican narrative
Crockett's progressive socialist agenda will get crushed in a statewide race in Texas, where most voters disagree with her values. Her divisive record and inflammatory comments about Latinos and interracial marriage are already fracturing the Democratic Party from within. Texas Democrats are setting themselves up for another humiliating loss.
Democratic narrative
Crockett, who boasts grassroots support and a long list of endorsements from fellow Democrats, will bring the energy needed to expand Texas's electorate by mobilizing young and first-time voters. Her tireless charisma and direct appeal to new demographics could finally crack the GOP's statewide dominance as Texas continues shifting toward urban growth.
Narrative C
Crockett’s late Senate entry should alarm Democrats, who have to fear that her confrontational style and lack of crossover appeal could squander a rare chance to flip Texas. With GOP turmoil offering an opening, this may not be the best time to go with an inexperienced challenger who could fracture the party.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
Political split
LEFT
RIGHT
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0