Croatia's Milanovic Wins Presidential Race

Croatia's Milanovic Wins Presidential Race
Above: Croatian Pres. Zoran Milanovic greets supporters in Zagreb on Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, after winning the presidential election. Image copyright: Petar Santini/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The overwhelming victory represents a clear mandate for change and a strong message to the governing HDZ party about corruption and democratic accountability. The result demonstrates widespread public dissatisfaction with the current government's handling of inflation and economic challenges.

Pro-establishment narrative

Milanovic's stance on Ukraine and criticism of the EU threaten Croatia's international standing and relationships with Western allies. His populist rhetoric and confrontational style risk isolating Croatia from its strategic partners and undermining the country's position within NATO and the EU.

Metaculus Prediction


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