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Brazil's Bolsonaro to Stand Trial for Alleged Coup Plot

Brazil's Bolsonaro to Stand Trial for Alleged Coup Plot
Above: Jair Bolsonaro at Brasília airport on March 25, 2025. Image copyright: Sergio Lima/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Brazil has further shown its commitment to protecting democracy and holding accountable whoever attempts to undermine its democratic institutions, which is a lesson to other countries facing similar challenges. Given that Bolsonaro has even confessed again to having discussed a coup, it's a matter of time before he is found guilty.

Right narrative

This is a politically motivated witch hunt designed to jail Bolsonaro ahead of next year's presidential election. The so-called coup plot is based on unreliable evidence, as there was no military support and no viable plan to seize control — at most, there was a riot in Brasília. Brazilian globalist elites will do anything to prevent Bolsonaro from returning to power.

Metaculus Prediction



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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