UK: Deputy PM Angela Rayner Resigns After Stamp Duty Tax Breach Finding
The Spin
Pro-government narrative
Rayner acted in good faith throughout this process while seeking to correct the error immediately upon discovery. Her complex family circumstances created genuinely difficult legal situations that even experts acknowledge were complicated to navigate. Her resignation, while right, prioritizes family protection over political survival and in no way resembles the sleaze of the last government.
Opposition narrative
The Rayner affair exposes Labour's staggering hypocrisy. She spent years savaging ministers, demanding resignations and hurling abuse. Yet when scrutinized herself, suddenly there were weeks of excuses and denial. This is a story of a politician and a government who weaponized moral outrage then played victim when held to their own standards.
Metaculus Prediction
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