Versions :<1234567Live

South Korea Claims Kim Jong Un's Daughter Likely to Succeed Him

South Korea Claims Kim Jong Un's Daughter Likely to Succeed Him
Image copyright: Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

There are plenty of indications that Kim Jong Un is indeed preparing his daughter as the heir apparent in a long-term effort to prevent a turbulent succession in North Korea. The recent electoral reform, her public appearances at a very young age, and honorific references to her show that he is seeking to prepare the heavily patriarchal and conservative nation to legitimize her succession.

Narrative B

Despite Kim Ju-ae being constantly in the public eye nowadays, this doesn't mean that she will necessarily succeed Kim Jong Un. Given the male-centered power structure in the country, North Korean high-ranking officials would feel uncomfortable about a female leader. It's likely that she's just playing a pacemaker role for a so-far unknown male successor while softening the atmosphere around her father.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!