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FOX NewsOCT 2 2024
Polls: Harris Leading Trump Nationwide, Virtual Tie in Swing States
Above: Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, walks onstage during a campaign rally at the Expo at World Market Center on September 29, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Image copyright: Mario Tama/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Republican narrative
Polls underestimated support for Trump both in 2016 and 2020, so these latest results are actually very positive for the Republican ticket. Compared to previous cycles, this is Trump's best chance to win by a landslide — and even to secure the popular vote.
Democratic narrative
Given that Harris has consistently been ahead of Trump in polls, Republicans have resorted to the fact that support for Trump was underestimated in the previous election cycles. One should not expect them to be inaccurate again, though, as pollsters have worked to improve their methodologies.