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US to Limit Previously Unchecked Technology Exports to China

Image copyright: CFOTO/Zuma Press [via The Wall Street Journal]

The Spin

Pro-China narrative

While the US claims it's simply trying to boost its own domestic chip production, what it's actually doing is pushing China out of the industry altogether. In an already-struggling semiconductor production industry, the US is further disrupting a global economy that relies heavily on these technologies.

Anti-China narrative

With China rapidly encroaching militarily on US allies in the Pacific, these new restrictions are positive news. The tight relationship between national security and semiconductor production has been recognized for decades; if China were to surpass the US in the long-term, it could quickly become dominant in every area of warfare. The US is right to withhold such resources from its top geopolitical adversary, which would undoubtedly use them for nefarious purposes.

Metaculus Prediction


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