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House GOP Leader McCarthy Plans Special Committee on China

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The Spin

Democratic narrative

McCarthy has telegraphed that his potential speakership will be politically volatile. Although he's favored to be the next Speaker of the House, with only a weak Republican majority, this is not a done deal yet. McCarthy is struggling for support and will have to bend to the will of outlandish hard-right conservatives if he's to land the job.

Republican narrative

With a microscopic majority in the House, McCarthy's potential first job as Speaker must be to temper expectations. The GOP's most important achievement — removing Nancy Pelosi from the role — has already been achieved. With realism, subtlety, and creativity, House Republicans can now attempt to pass legislation to show a solution-oriented agenda.

Metaculus Prediction


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