Report: Brazil to Send Ambassador to Maduro's Inauguration

Above: Nicolás Maduro and Glivania Maria de Oliveira during the meeting in which she received her Letter of Credence at the Miraflores Presidential Palace in Caracas on Feb. 20, 2024. Image copyright: Gabriela Oraa/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Brazilian Pres. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is reportedly sending his ambassador in Venezuela, Gilvânia Maria de Oliveira, to represent Brasília at Nicolás Maduro's Jan. 10 inauguration.

  • This comes as Brazil vetoed Venezuela's bid to join BRICS in November and is yet to formally recognize a winner in Venezuela's July 28 disputed presidential election.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Venezuela's election authority and courts have declared Maduro the winner, with the far-right opposition offering no evidence for their claim that González won. Hopefully, Brazil and others have come to realize that Maduro is indeed the legitimate president-elect and that all this mess is the US trying to force a puppet regime on Venezuela — again.

Pro-establishment narrative

After the opposition failed to take advantage of spontaneous public anger over the election fraud, partly because it believed Brazil and Colombia would help find a diplomatic solution for the crisis, the US is the only one that can prevent Venezuela from becoming a full-blown dictatorship. With international support for Maduro dwindling, he must choose the easy way or the hard way.


Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO