US Inflation Hits 2.9% as Energy Costs Drive December Increase

Above: Shoppers in a store in San Francisco, Calif., on Jan. 6, 2025, ahead of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index (CPI) report on Jan.15. Image copyright: David Paul Morris/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Facts

  • The US Labor Department's Consumer Price Index (CPI) released Wednesday showed inflation grew by 0.4% to 2.9% annually in December, exceeding expectations of a 0.3% increase. This marks the third consecutive monthly increase and the highest level since July.

  • Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% monthly and 3.2% annually, showing a slight improvement from November's 3.3%, while energy prices surged 2.6% for the month, driven by a 4.4% increase in gas prices.


The Spin

Republican narrative

Another uptick in inflation should come as no surprise given the array of Democrat policies still plaguing the country. From collapsing the energy sector to printing massive amounts of money, Biden has left Americans under the weight of his unnecessary fiscal irresponsibility. Once in office, Trump must be careful when dealing with bureaucrats left over from the Biden administration, most notably in the Fed.

Democratic narrative

Despite Donald Trump's bombastic accusations ahead of his inauguration, the US economy is in a remarkably strong position. To the envy of many other developed countries, Biden brought America back to almost full employment while simultaneously cutting inflation down to the Fed's desired rate. Trump is about to waste all of this progress through his proposed tariffs, mass deportations, and trade wars.


Metaculus Prediction


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