Europe: Starmer. Macron Hold Talks at Chequers

    Above: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R) speaks with France's Pres. Emmanuel Macron during a bilateral meeting at the Chequers, in Aylesbury, England, on Jan. 9, 2025. Image copyright: JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP/Contributor via Getty Images

    The Spin

    Narrative A

    The relationship between the UK and France, embodied by Starmer and Macron, offers a vital opportunity to tackle global challenges together. United by history, shared values, and enduring cultural ties, the two nations are pivotal in fostering security, fairness, and prosperity. Renewed cooperation on defense, migration, climate change, and economic growth strengthens their alliance, ensuring a brighter, more stable future for Europe and the world.

    Narrative B

    Starmer and Macron’s supposed alliance, though presented as a beacon of cooperation, is but a desperate pair of embattled leaders clinging to each other for political survival. With both facing mounting domestic challenges and seemingly incapable of dealing with the incoming Trump administration, it is difficult to see their partnership as anything other than a superficial attempt to project unity in the face of uncertainty and declining global influence.

    Metaculus Prediction

    There is a 95.9% chance that the US will remain a NATO member continuously until Jan. 1, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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