Blue Ghost, Third Private U.S. Lunar Lander, Launches to the Moon
Scientific AmericanJAN 23
SpaceX Launches Two Private Lunar Landers
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Above: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, carrying Blue Ghost and Resilience lunar landers, lifts off from Launch Complex 39A at the Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida, on Jan. 15, 2025. Image copyright: Gregg Newton/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
The commercial lunar missions demonstrate the growing viability of private space exploration, with multiple companies now capable of delivering scientific payloads to the moon. The successful launch represents a crucial step toward establishing a sustainable lunar economy and supporting NASA's goals for human exploration.
Narrative B
The technical challenges and risks of lunar missions remain significant, as evidenced by recent failed high-profile landing attempts. The complex journey to the moon requires precise navigation and landing capabilities. Despite extensive preparation and testing, success is not guaranteed.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that at least 17 people will have ever landed on the moon by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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