DR Congo: M23 Captures Key Town of Masisi
The Spin
Narrative A
Rwanda and its M23 proxy have created one of the world's largest internal displacement and humanitarian crises so as to destabilize resource-rich eastern DRC. Kinshasa will never enter negotiations as long as attacks threaten its territorial integrity and population. It's time for the international community to step in and support the DRC.
Narrative B
Despite recent developments in North Kivu, peace in the DRC remains within reach. It's up to Kinshasa to finally take responsibility for the conflict and start acting in good faith in negotiations, instead of undermining diplomatic efforts. East Africa needs peace and stability; all other parties are ready to sign an agreement.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 61% chance that the Democratic Republic of Congo will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.