Nicaragua launches 'volunteer' police force that critics fear will be paramilitary
ReutersFEB 1
Nicaragua Swears in 'Volunteer Police' Force
Above: President of Nicaragua Daniel Ortega waves at Palacio Federal Legislativo on Jan. 10, 2025, in Caracas, Venezuela. Image copyright: Jesus Vargas/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Establishment-critical narrative
Nicaragua's constitutional reforms, expected to enter into force soon, represent a crucial and historic step forward for Nicaraguan citizens. These amendments, including the creation of the voluntary police, will update the constitution to better democratize power, consolidate rights, and reaffirm the country's independence and sovereignty.
Pro-establishment narrative
It's no coincidence that this new force is part of the most radical constitutional reforms Ortega has ever proposed during his authoritarian rule of Nicaragua. He wants to formalize his totalitarian system, all while claiming that his government abides by the law of the land amid growing international isolation. Pressure on the Ortega regime to reverse these draconian decisions must continue.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 15% chance that Nicaragua will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
