LA Fires: Death Toll Rises as Winds Bring Renewed Threat

Above: Firefighters battle winds and flames as Malibu beachside homes burn along Pacific Coast Highway in the Palisades Fire on Jan. 7, 2025. Image copyright: David Crane/Contributor/MediaNews Group/Los Angeles Daily News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The devastating scope of these fires, combined with infrastructure failures such as empty hydrants and potential utility equipment malfunctions, demonstrates serious systemic vulnerabilities in Los Angeles's disaster preparedness and prevention measures. These are systemic issues that need to be urgently solved.

Narrative B

The city's emergency response has significantly improved with better preparation and resources, including international firefighting support and enhanced water supplies, making the region better equipped to handle the ongoing crisis than it was during the initial outbreak.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 27% chance there will be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community. 


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