French Surgeon Faces Trial for Alleged Abuse of 299 Children

Above: Files are displayed in the courtroom during the opening day of French surgeon Joel Le Scouarnec's trial at the courthouse in Saintes, western France, on March 13, 2020.  Image copyright: Georges Gobet/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The systemic failure of French institutions enabled a dangerous predator to continue practicing medicine despite clear warning signs, with hospitals and medical authorities repeatedly ignoring red flags and failing to protect vulnerable patients.

Narrative B

The charges against Le Scouarnec are deeply disturbing. Given the extraordinary sensitivity of all allegations against him, it's important to allow due process to continue in his remaining trials so that all vital details can be clarified in a court of law.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 8% chance that Emmanuel Macron will cease to be president of France before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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