Armed groups kill at least 40 farmers in Nigeria’s Borno State
Al JazeeraJAN 3
Nigeria: Over 40 Farmers Killed in Attack Near Lake Chad
Above: People displaced by Boko Haram and ISWAP attacks in Nigeria return to their homes after nine years in Borno, Nigeria on June 21, 2024. Image copyright: Adam Abu-bashal/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
The attack represents a clear violation of civilian safety and highlights the urgent need for enhanced military protection in Nigeria's farming areas. The incident demonstrates how jihadist terrorist groups exploit vulnerable communities and contribute to the region's food insecurity. The military's safe zone strategy, while necessary, severely restricts essential farming activities.
Narrative B
Although the incident was tragic, the farmers willingly took unnecessary risks by entering into illicit arrangements with terrorist groups and straying beyond established safe zones. Their actions violated established security protocols and exposed them to danger in an area known for insurgent activity and landmines.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 32.3% chance Nigeria's population will exceed 400 million before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
