UK: Five SAS Soldiers Under Investigation Over Alleged War Crimes in Syria

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The British defense ministry holds all personnel to the highest standards, and takes all allegations of wrongdoing extremely seriously. If an investigation finds evidence of criminal wrongdoing, the case will be presented to the relevant prosecuting authority, and justice will be served.

Establishment-critical narrative

After serious wrongdoing by SAS soldiers was revealed in Afghanistan, new management decided to prosecute a comparatively low-level infraction to show they were taking action. Responses to these extremely serious allegations have amounted to nothing more than a case of reputation management.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that Syria will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by February 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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