Turkey Strikes PKK After Aerospace Industry Facility Attack

Above: Turkish Jandarma stand guard at the entrance to the Turkish Aerospace Industries facility following an attack on Oct. 23, 2024 in Ankara, Turkey. Image copyright: Serdar Ozsoy/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • After an attack on the Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) in Ankara on Wednesday, where at least two gunmen opened fire and killed five people, the Turkish military retaliated by targeting sites in Northern Iraq and Northern Syria linked to the Kurdish PKK group.

  • No organization has taken responsibility for the attack, which left 22 people injured. Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said the authorities had "neutralized" the two attackers, a man and a woman, but insisted that the PKK was likely involved.


The Spin

Narrative A

The terrible terrorist attack on Wednesday looks to have been a well-planned assault on the headquarters of Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI), a strategic defense company that, among other things, makes unmanned aerial vehicles, which have proven effective in combating Kurdish insurgents in both Syria and Iraq. Turkey is at war and is more determined than ever to rid the country of terrorists while also protecting both Turkish and Kurdish civilians.

Narrative B

In response to the deadly attack on the aerospace industry facility in Ankara on Wednesday, Turkish warplanes targeted Kurdish civilian infrastructure in northern Iraq and northern Syria — causing an unacceptable loss of life. Ankara asserts its "right to self-defense," yet it disproportionately punishes innocent civilians in neighboring countries with its military aggression. Turkey's cycle of violence against the Kurdish people must come to an end.


Metaculus Prediction