Trump Unable to Obtain $464M Appeal Bond

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The Facts

  • Lawyers for former US Pres. Donald Trump in a Monday court filing claimed that after approaching 30 insurance companies he was unable to find a bond underwriter to cover the $464M penalty against him from his New York civil fraud case.

  • The filing claims Trump would need cash reserves near $1B to meet the bond's "enormous magnitude."


The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump's in this predicament because he lied about his wealth and success for decades, so it shouldn't be a surprise to him that insurance companies now see him as a loan risk. This is business karma for Trump, who should lose his skyscrapers and golf resorts as a penalty for fraudulent behavior.

Pro-Trump narrative

Even Trump's enemies must admit this was an absurd judgment that resulted from a judge making an unprecedented and arbitrary ruling as part of the political witch hunt against the former president. This judgment, and Trump's struggles to post bond, should be a warning to businesses considering investing in New York.


Metaculus Prediction


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