Study: COVID Vaccine Potentially Correlated to Excess Death Increase

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Above: A nurse at Feixa Llarga nursing home shows a dose of COVID vaccine on September 26, 2023 in Barcelona, Spain. Image copyright: Zowy Voeten/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • According to a study of pandemic-era excess deaths across 47 Western countries, there were about 1M excess deaths in 2020, 1.2M in 2021, and 800K in 2022. Excess deaths occurred in 43 of the countries in 2022, up from 41 in 2020.

  • The Dutch study, published in the journal BMJ Public Health, said that besides COVID deaths, the "unprecedented" number of excess deaths could potentially be linked to vaccines and other pandemic "health strategies."

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The Spin

Narrative A

While the authors of this study suggest COVID vaccines could've caused these excess deaths there's data to turn this on its ear. A study from the UK's Office for National Statistics showed that the death rate from April 2021 to May 2023 was higher in the unvaccinated, even when COVID deaths were excluded. There are numerous other reasons why excess deaths have increased in the post-COVID years.

The Conversation

Narrative B

It's possible that lockdowns and vaccines did not deliver as promised while both were coming to prominence in 2021. Western leaders are still not being truthful about the efficacy and safety of the jab, which is why they, more than anyone, must heed the recommendations of the study's authors. Much research is indeed needed, and this is a troubling finding.

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Metaculus Prediction