SKorea: Russia Likely Aided NKorea's Failed Satellite Launch

Above: Russia's Pres. Vladimir Putin (R) and North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un attend a welcoming ceremony before Russian-North Korean talks on June 19, 2024, in Pyongyang. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Members of South Korea's parliamentary intelligence committee told reporters on Monday, citing assessments from the National Intelligence Service (NIS), that Russia likely assisted North Korea in its failed reconnaissance satellite launch in May.

  • South Korea's spy agency briefed lawmakers that Pyongyang had used a "liquid oxygen and petroleum engine" — which exploded minutes after lift-off — for the first time, despite no indications North Korea had developed such an engine.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The Kremlin has joined forces with Pyongyang in a desperate move to continue its war of aggression against Ukraine, establishing a partnership that is unlikely to last long, but that could shake up Northeast Asia and the world. It's pressing that the West ramps up its deterrence strategy against Russia and engages diplomatically with Beijing, which is also interested in stability in the Korean Peninsula despite the actions of its junior allies.

Establishment-critical narrative

It's no wonder that enemies of North Korea and Russia are complaining that the countries have established a comprehensive strategic partnership, as the regional balance of power has been fundamentally changed. Moscow and Pyongyang are now bound to provide each other immediate military assistance in case of a defensive war, so potential aggressors would naturally object to such a union.


Metaculus Prediction


Public figures in this story


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles