Romania: Pro-EU Parties Agree to Form Coalition to Counter Nationalists

Above: The Romanian national flag in front of the parliament building during parliamentary elections, in Bucharest on Dec. 1, 2024. Image copyright: Andrei Pungovschi/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Romania's pro-European parties — namely the Social Democrats (PSD), the Liberals (PNL), the Save Romania Union (USR), the ethnic Hungarians (UDMR), and national minorities — on Wednesday signed a joint resolution on the formation of a future coalition.

  • Together, the coalition is close to a two-thirds majority in both the lower Chamber of Deputies and the upper Senate. In the Dec. 1 parliamentary elections, the PSD won the largest vote share at 22%, the PNL and the USR third and fourth at 13% and 12% respectively, and the UDMR seventh at 6%.

  • This coalition deal comes despite George Simion — leader of Romania's second-largest party, the nationalist Alliance for Uniting Romanians (AUR) — expressing a desire to be part of a government coalition. However, Simion has specifically ruled out a deal with the PSD.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

It's great news that the pro-European camp in Romania has agreed to form a coalition to fend off the rise of far-right, pro-Russia parties in the legislature, which will hold at least a third of the seats. Given that extremists could even elect the next president of Romania this weekend, this push for moderate unity was much needed.


Establishment-critical narrative

It's no surprise that mainstream parties have lost support and that nationalists have surged in the latest parliamentary elections. Once again, Romanians have shown they are fed up with bureaucrats in Bucharest dragging their country into the war in Ukraine, which only serves the interests of NATO, the EU, and the US military-industrial complex.



Metaculus Prediction




Articles on this story