Report: Israel Has 'Basically Accepted' Gaza Cease-Fire Framework

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The Facts

  • A senior US official told reporters on Saturday that Israel has "basically accepted" a framework deal for a six-week cease-fire in Gaza that would allow the most vulnerable hostages — women, the elderly and the wounded — to be released and further humanitarian aid into the enclave.

  • This comes as truce negotiations are expected to resume in Cairo on Sunday, just one week ahead of the Ramadan deadline Israel has set for an offensive into Rafah if Hamas doesn't free its hostages.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Despite America's all-out efforts to both ensure Hamas' military capabilities can be destroyed while preventing regional escalation, the war in Gaza has gone too far. Israel must be willing to follow through on its promises and compromise as needed so that another extended truce can take effect, which will hopefully lead to a more permanent resolution to this conflict.

Pro-Palestine narrative

With the sole purpose of adding to the pressure on Hamas as the holy month of Ramadan approaches, Washington has hyped up this framework deal as well as the alleged Israeli endorsement to it. Reality, however, tells a completely different story: disagreement persists and it's even unclear whether an Israel delegation will attend the next round of talks in Egypt. Meanwhile, Israeli genocide in Palestine continues.

Pro-Israel narrative

There isn't a single Israeli that doesn't want a hostage release deal to bring their countrymen back from the Gaza Strip, but popular pressure on the government has only enabled Hamas terrorists to put forward a list of maximalist demands time and time again. Now, the nation must show unity to deliver a resounding message that negotiations can't progress at any price.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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