North Korea’s Kim vows to put his nuclear force ready for combat with US
Associated PressSEP 2024
North Korea Fires Missiles After Kim Pledges to Boost Nuclear Arsenal
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Above: People watch a television broadcast reporting on North Korean Kim Jong-un at the Seoul Railway Station on January 05, 2022 in Seoul, South Korea. Image copyright: Chung Sung-Jun/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Establishment-critical narrative
Though Kim may seem like an irrational actor, he's simply using the only leverage he has in dealing with South Korea and the US. His nuclear ambitions are designed to seek political gains and sanctions relief after successive American administrations have derailed diplomatic routes to denuclearization.
Pro-establishment narrative
As much as North Korea wishes to flex its military potential and engage in bombastic rhetoric, it would be best for Pyongyang not to push this too far. The North is well known to suffer extreme economic hardship, and it's near-impossible for them to keep masking vulnerabilities with dangerous propaganda and military activity.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 2% chance that any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 will give them up before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
