Luxury Fashion Is Struggling In The First Half Of 2024—Here’s Why
ForbesJUL 2024
Nordstrom Goes Private in $6.25B Family-Led Buyout Deal
Above: Shoppers go inside a Nordstrom department store at Fashion Valley, San Diego Calif. on Dec. 13, 2024. Image copyright: Kevin Carter/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
Taking the company private will allow the Nordstrom family to make necessary long-term investments and strategic changes without public market scrutiny, enabling the business to adapt more effectively to evolving retail challenges.
Narrative B
In general, department stores face significant headwinds as middle-income shoppers turn to cheaper alternatives like Walmart, Amazon, and off-price chains, while luxury retailers like Nordstrom struggle with changing consumer preferences. It's far from clear if this gambit will pay off.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 37% chance retail and restaurant locations in the US will decline by over 50% between 2020 and 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
