Nissan, Honda Sign Deal to Explore Merger

Above: (L to R) Makoto Uchida, president of Nissan Motor Corporation, Toshihiro Mibe, president of Honda, and Takao Kato, president of Mitsubishi Motors, attend a joint press conference in Tokyo on Dec. 23, 2024. Image copyright: PHILIP FONG/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Japanese carmakers Honda and Nissan announced Monday the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to explore a merger to form a joint holding company — potentially the world's third-largest automaker by sales.

  • The companies, alongside Nissan group firm Mitsubishi Motors, said they aim to finalize a deal by June 2025 and complete the process in August 2026. A Japanese government official reportedly said the two had informed authorities of their plan.

  • Most of the new holding firm's internal and outside directors, including its president, are expected to be Honda-nominated. Nissan, whose largest shareholder Renault backs a merger, would receive Honda's hybrid technology.


The Spin

Narrative A

Honda and Nissan's potential merger signals the end of an era of independent Japanese automakers. The union would forge a $52B industrial titan — a direct response to BYD's meteoric rise and Foxconn's threatening interest in Nissan. This marriage of necessity could spark an unprecedented realignment in global automotive power dynamics.


Narrative B

Struggling Nissan's possible union with Honda is one destined for disappointment. The alliance faces daunting obstacles — overlapping product lines, clashing corporate cultures, and Honda's potential inheritance of Nissan's troubled US business. The merger's prospects are dim, given the widespread redundancies between the companies.



Metaculus Prediction




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