Mexico elects first female president with Claudia Sheinbaum as projected winner
NBCJUN 2024
Mexico: Claudia Sheinbaum Elected First Woman President
Above: Presidential candidate Claudia Sheinbaum of ''Sigamos Haciendo Historia'' coalition gives a speech at the Hilton Hotel on June 03, 2024 in Mexico City, Mexico. Image copyright: Hector Vivas/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
Despite accusations of having a male-dominated culture and negative biases against female leaders, Mexico has become the first North American country to elect a woman as head of government — and her closest rival was a woman as well. This is a clear culmination of a gender parity framework that has been in place for decades in the country.
Narrative B
It's all too convenient to praise gender parity policies for this outcome when Sheinbaum is, in fact, just another female protégé appointed by a populist Latin American leader who can't run for re-election. Given that this story is reminiscent of Dilma Rousseff's rise in Brazil, one can only hope for better luck for Mexico.
Metaculus Prediction
There's an 8% chance that Mexico will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
