Japanese Startup’s Rocket Explodes After Takeoff: Video
TimeMAR 2024
Japanese Space Startup's Second Launch Ends in Failure
Above: The solid-fuel Kairos rocket is launched at the Spaceport Kii launch pad in Kushimoto on Dec. 18, 2024. Image copyright: STR/JIJI PRESS/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
The failure of this launch represents a significant challenge to Japan's commercial space ambitions and competitiveness in the growing satellite launch market. Despite the failure, the company demonstrated progress by achieving first-stage separation and reaching a higher altitude than their previous attempt. The company's quick commitment to developing Kairos No. 3 shows resilience in pursuing its commercial space goals.
Narrative B
Two consecutive launch failures raise serious concerns about the reliability of private space ventures in Japan's space sector. The technical issues with both launches suggest fundamental rocket design and operation problems that must be addressed before future attempts. These incidents highlight the risks of rushing to commercialize space launch capabilities.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that the 1,000th person will reach space by August 2034, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
