“This Must End”: Israel Orders New Mass Evacuation, Continuing Attacks on Gaza Health System
Democracy NowJun 28
Israel to Send Delegation to Resume Gaza Cease-Fire Negotiations
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The Facts
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly told US Pres. Joe Biden on Thursday that Israel would send a delegation to resume negotiations regarding a cease-fire in Gaza after Hamas submitted a new revised proposal on Wednesday.
This comes as the US described Hamas' latest proposal as a “breakthrough” establishing a framework for a possible hostage deal, though it warned that difficult negotiations remained over its implementation. Talks will continue in Doha.
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
A guaranteed end to the war will ensure increased humanitarian aid to the besieged enclave, preserve Israel's security, and create a better "day after" in Gaza without Hamas in power. The US will continue to work toward closing the gaps and ensuring that peace and stability can be restored to the region.
Pro-Israel narrative
Israel has overcome many obstacles in this war, but there are still plenty of challenges. Though Hamas has been seriously degraded, its leadership is still largely intact and hostages are still being held in Gaza. Military pressure has forced Hamas to make concessions, but due to foreign and domestic pressures, Israel will also likely have to make painful concessions of its own. Nonetheless, Israel must retain security control over Gaza to prevent another Oct. 7 terrorist attack.
Metaculus Prediction
Narrative D
Hezbollah and the regional resistance continue to demonstrate their military capabilities, even if they are more than willing to observe a cease-fire in Gaza. Ultimately, the resistance's primary goal is to end the war in Gaza, not start a larger regional conflict. However, Israel's genocidal actions and constant threats may indicate that a larger war is coming. Indeed, Hezbollah is ready to defend Lebanon.
