ICJ Says Israel Must Take Steps to Prevent Genocide in Gaza

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The Spin

Pro-Palestine narrative

This is a landmark and historic ruling, not only in constituting a serious legal defeat for Israel but also by ordering it to take action to prevent further harm to the Palestinians who have already suffered for too long. It might take years for a full genocide ruling, but these provisional measures are definitely a step in the right direction.

Pro-Israel narrative

This is an outlandish and outrageous ruling from the International Court of Justice. Under international law, which Israel is unwaveringly committed to following, the country is entitled to defend itself from attack. Meanwhile, it's Hamas that's intent on wiping out the Jewish population. Israel will continue to respond to these existential threats.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 20% chance that the International Criminal Court will bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO