Republican Bernie Moreno unseats Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio
NBCNOV 2024
US Election: GOP Extends Senate Majority, Leads House Races
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Above: Speaker of the House Rep. Mike Johnson (R-La.) takes the stage at a Donald Trump campaign rally at Madison Square Garden on Oct. 27, 2024, in New York City. Image copyright: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Republican narrative
The Republican Senate takeover represents a clear mandate for conservative policies and will enable implementation of key priorities including immigration reform, tax cuts, and energy production. This victory positions the GOP to support a Trump presidency, and has provided Democrats with a sharp wakeup call that their ultra woke political agenda means nothing to the average American, who wants to comfortably pay the bills.
Democratic narrative
Democrats faced an exceptionally challenging map engineered by gerrymandering Republicans, and still managed to keep several races competitive despite structural disadvantages. While still fighting for those that need to be defended from a Republican America, such as immigrants and the trans community, it's time for the party to go back to the drawing board and work out a more compelling way to communicate their unity-focused message to the American public.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 97% chance that Republicans will control both the House and the Senate after the 2024 US election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
