Germany to Halve Military Aid to Ukraine

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The Facts

  • Germany will nearly halve the amount of military aid it will provide to Ukraine next year, according to a draft budget approved by the government on Wednesday.

  • While the 2025 budget still needs to be approved by lawmakers, the amount of German money going to Ukraine under current plans will go from roughly €7.5B ($8.2B) this year to around €4B ($4.37B) next year.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

While Germany is cutting the funds it's allocating to Ukraine, Ukraine will be able to meet its military needs via the $50B loan from the G7 soon coming its way as well as from other European instruments.

Establishment-critical narrative

This is another instance where Germany makes large promises to Ukraine, only for it to turn out that those promises were hollow and meaningless. This is an unacceptable position from the German government.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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