'Doomsday Clock' Kept at 90 Seconds to Midnight

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The Facts

  • The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock, which was created in 1947 to metaphorically show how close humanity is to global destruction, has been kept at 90 seconds to midnight, the same as it was last year. The clock was at 100 seconds to midnight from 2020-2022 before it dropped in 2023.

  • Every year, the Bulletin's Science and Security Board sets the clock based on global threats such as nuclear war, biological threats, artificial intelligence (AI), and climate change. Before 2017, the board, which includes 10 Nobel laureates, only told the time in whole minutes, and in 2020, it began using seconds for the first time.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

As noted by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, the fact that the ticker hasn't been moved closer to midnight doesn't mean the world is getting better. After war broke out in Eastern Europe in 2022, war has now broken out in the Middle East; and after society dragged its feet on climate policy for years, governments are still not acting fast enough to save the planet. As new technologies and global threats continue to emerge, complacency is the enemy.

Establishment-critical narrative

The Doomsday Clock is a silly, pseudoscientific scam at best, and a politically biased agenda pusher at worst — likely the latter. Over the decades, the clock has been pushed closer to midnight under Republican US administrations and further away during Democratic ones. What the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists really measures is how anxious liberals are depending on who's living in the White House.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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