China, Russia Oppose New UN Peacekeeping Mission in Haiti

Above: Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary and Deputy Permanent Representative of the People’s Republic of China to the United Nations Geng Shuang speaks during a UN Security Council meeting on May 13, 2024. Image copyright: Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images Staff via Getty Images

The Facts

  • At a meeting of the UN Security Council arranged on Wednesday at their request, China and Russia expressed their opposition to transforming the Multinational Security Support (MSS) mission in Haiti into a UN peacekeeping mission.

  • Representatives for both countries alleged that conditions on the ground would expose peacekeepers to great security risks, with China's Geng Shuang calling for the council to focus on enabling the MSS to fulfill its recently renewed mandate.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

It's hard to understand the reasoning leading China and Russia to oppose an official UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti. As the understaffed and underfunded MSS has failed to address gang violence in Haiti, this transition has become the only hope for the Caribbean country.

Establishment-critical narrative

Though a new UN peacekeeping operation would secure enough funding and troops for the mission in Haiti, this move is by no means a silver bullet in the fight against gangs — and it could prove deleterious to such an effort. Given the situation on the ground and past experiences in the country, deploying blue helmets to Haiti would be a mistake.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO