Canada: Trudeau Survives Second No-Confidence Vote

Above: Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau watches Sunday Singles on day four of the 2024 Presidents Cup at The Royal Montreal Golf Club on Sept. 29, 2024, in Montreal, Quebec. Image copyright: Jared C. Tilton/Staff/Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau survived his second non-confidence motion in parliament on Tuesday. The Conservative Party presented the motion in an attempt to overthrow the minority Liberal government and call for an early election.

  • Members of the House of Commons voted 207-121 to reject an attempt by the official opposition Conservative party to oust Trudeau, having previously voted 211-120 against the same measure last Thursday.


The Spin

Left narrative

While Poilievre may be enjoying current success by repeating a Trump-like message in Canada, there's plenty of time for these fortunes to change before Canada's next federal election. With the right spending more time complaining than presenting substantial policy, don't be surprised if voters do not buy the Conservative Party's superficial hype.

Right narrative

Many Canadians are rightfully holding Trudeau personally responsible for the rising inflation and high cost of living. His popularity has been declining for years, with most believing Poilievre has the best plan when it comes to crucial issues like housing, health care, and the economy. It's time for Trudeau to do what's best for the country — step down.


Metaculus Prediction


Public figures in this story


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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