Biden Hosts 'Quad' Leaders

Above: US Pres. Joe Biden, Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi hold a quad meeting on the sidelines of the G7 Leaders' Summit in Hiroshima on May 20, 2023. Image copyright: Jonathan Ernst/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The Quad is nothing more than a divisive mechanism that the US created to make Australia, India, and Japan its pawns in the Indo-Pacific in an attempt to destabilize the entire region and gain a strategic advantage against China. Given that the three nations can't just turn their back on China, divergence will continue to prevail in the grouping.

Pro-establishment narrative

Over the past two decades, the Quad has grown from a humanitarian aid cooperation to a sustainable and solid grouping that wants to keep the Indo-Pacific free and open — but whose agenda goes well beyond traditional security concerns. While there are mutual concerns over Beijing's actions there, this is by no means an anti-China group.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 12% chance that there will be a US-China war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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