Australia to Buy $4.7B of US Missiles to Boost Deterrence

Above: A missile is launched from a US military HIMARS system during joint military drills at a firing range in northern Australia as part of Exercise Talisman Sabre in Shoalwater Bay on July 22, 2023. Image copyright: ANDREW LEESON/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • On Tuesday, Australia announced a $4.7B deal to arm its warships with US medium and long-range missiles as part of its new defense strategy unveiled earlier this year. The SM-2 IIIC and SM-6 missiles will be placed on the Royal Australian Navy's three Hobart-class destroyers.

  • Australia's purchase of the "most advanced air defence missiles in the world" follows the country becoming the first outside the US to fire an SM-6 in August. Australian Defense Minister Pat Conroy said they would defend Australia "in the missile age."


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Australia is unnecessarily hyping up the "China threat" narrative. China is committed to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific and does not pose a challenge to any country. Australia's increased military spending and focus on long-range strike capabilities may contribute to regional tensions and an arms race, potentially undermining peace and security in the Indo-Pacific.

Pro-establishment narrative

Australia has made a bold strategic move by investing in advanced US-made SM-2 IIIC and SM-6 missiles. This move significantly boosts its naval defense and cements Australia's alliance with the US. It underscores growing concerns about regional security, even though some argue that the China threat is overstated. However, Australia must not solely rely on the US for defense amid a shifting geopolitical landscape.


Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO