Arizona, Missouri to Vote on Abortion Rights in November

Above: Members of Arizona for Abortion Access hold a protest condemning Arizona House Republicans and the 1864 abortion ban on April 17, 2024, in Phoenix, Arizona. Image copyright: Rebecca Noble/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Election officials in Arizona and Missouri have announced that ballot measures on enshrining abortion rights in their respective state constitutions received enough signatures to appear on ballots this fall. Seven states have abortion rights measures on the ballot this November.

  • In Missouri, which currently only allows abortion for limited medical reasons, the ballot initiative would repeal current abortion law and establish a "right to make decisions about reproductive health care, including abortion and contraceptives."


The Spin

Democratic narrative

Anti-choice conservatives are in for a rude awakening come November, as just about every pro-abortion ballot measure has passed on the state level. Americans don't want the government to dictate their reproductive choices and have overwhelmingly spurned the GOP's restrictive proposals. The repeal of Roe has turned into a political goal for the Republicans, and the backlash has only just begun.

Republican narrative

For the sake of playing politics, the pro-abortion left has obfuscated what abortion restrictions mean for women and is putting radically lenient proposals on the ballot. No state lacks an exception for the life of the mother concerning abortion, and misinformed doctors have even spread that myth to desperate women. We don't need abortion on demand; we need to keep women and children safe.


Metaculus Prediction


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