Amnesty: Post-WWII Global System On 'Brink of Collapse'

Image copyright: Pavel Grabalov via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Narrative A

The aftermath of Hamas' 2023 attack on Israel and the subsequent Israeli response mirrors the US reaction to 9/11, which also eroded the rules-based global order. These incidents underscore the need to strengthen a fair application of international law and a shift towards a more just global order to prevent further atrocities and promote peace.

Narrative B

Global shifts in power dynamics are driving countries to recalibrate their strategies and defense spending. Rising tensions between the US, Russia, China, Iran, and Israel are prompting significant military build-ups and alliances. There's an urgent need for a new approach to prevent potential conflicts —the post-WWII order as we knew it has changed dramatically.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 20% chance that there will be a "World War Three" before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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