US Inflation Accelerates for Second Straight Month

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The Facts

  • US inflation rose 3.7% in August compared to last year, accelerating for the second consecutive month. In July, year-over-year inflation rose 3.2%, while monthly inflation was up 0.2% compared to 0.6% in August.

  • The Dept. of Labor’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) — which measures the costs of various goods and services — on Wednesday showed rising energy and gasoline prices, which were the main contributors to the rise in inflation.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The economy is not working for the working-class American consumer, and the Fed’s interest rate hikes — which slow wage growth and make mortgage rates explode — haven’t done enough to slow inflation. Hardworking Americans and small businesses are being hit hardest and can't see a way out under current policy.

Pro-establishment narrative

This report is overall positive news for the economy, even if the inflation was a little higher than hoped. Core inflation is slowing and the economy is trending up, so the Fed’s policy is working as intended.


Metaculus Prediction


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