China-US climate progress could hinge on new methane deal
One AmericaJUL 2023
The Spin
Left narrative
It’s important that the US and China thaw their relationship, but there’s no issue more significant than climate change, which threatens both countries along with the rest of the world. There’s room for agreement between the two world powers, but if China refuses to cooperate, the Biden administration could tackle the problem independently; such a course of action would only come at the detriment to China’s economy.
Right narrative
This visit is a waste of time. Before Kerry even arrived in China, the government-run media was touting the country’s plans to blow off Kerry’s offers of cooperation. The US shouldn’t be negotiating with China on any issue until it improves its human rights record and stops being the world’s largest emitter of carbon. China isn’t serious about being an altruistic actor on the world stage — Beijing should be treated as a hindrance rather than an ally.
Metaculus Prediction
There’s an 85% chance that there will be at least 2 degrees Celsius of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
