Haiti gang wars have claimed more than 530 lives this year alone, UN says
CBSJUL 2023
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
The UN's decision to send an armed force to Haiti is much welcomed by the Haitians, who have long suffered from rampant gang violence. The move comes after many citizens have left their homes in search of a better life in the US. All eyes are now on the Kenyan-led mission to restore order and bring back hope and stability to an impoverished nation.
Establishment-critical narrative
Deploying a multinational force in Haiti would legitimize the unelected leaders of Port-au-Prince. Moreover, the Caribbean nation has had bad experiences with past UN missions — including a 13-year mission that was maligned by allegations of sexual abuse. There's much at stake here and the international community can't afford another failure.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that Haiti will become an upper-middle-income country before January 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
