Taliban: Afghanistan Earthquake Kills At Least 2K

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The Facts

  • At least 2K people were killed after a magnitude-6.3 earthquake hit Afghanistan's western Herat province on Saturday, the Taliban administration said Sunday. As of Saturday, the UN's initial death toll stood at 320, though the figure hadn't been verified.

  • The powerful earthquake was followed by three strong aftershocks, which reportedly destroyed buildings and buried hundreds of civilians under the debris.


The Spin

Narrative A

Afghanistan is prone to earthquakes, particularly in the Hindu Kush Mountain range, near the convergence of the Eurasian and Indian tectonic plates. Not much can be done to protect the country and its neighbors from this unfortunate geographical feature, which puts the lives of those living in the area at risk.

Narrative B

People don't usually associate earthquakes with climate change, but they are intimately connected as more extreme weather can stress fault lines and make earthquakes more damaging and deadly. By doing more about climate change, this aggravating factor of the severity of quakes could be tempered in the future.

Narrative C

Though Afghanistan has a long history of earthquakes, the destruction creates urgency in designing and implementing strategies to reduce the death toll. However, the decades-long conflict, ongoing dire economic and hunger crises, and stalled international aid have restricted the country's ability to respond to natural disasters.


Metaculus Prediction