Taiwan Opposition Parties Join Forces, Shaking Up Election
TimeJUL 2023
Taiwan's Opposition Alliance Collapses
Image copyright: Annabelle Chih/Getty Images News [via Getty Images]
The Spin
Pro-China narrative
Even in the absence of a united opposition front to overwhelmingly defeat the ruling DPP, people in Taiwan must understand that they are faced with a binary choice. When they cast their ballot in January, voters will choose between peace and war, prosperity and decline. Now, it's a crucial time to unseat those pushing for secession.
Anti-China narrative
It's crystal clear that the opposition parties will undermine Taiwanese sovereignty for their benefit if they are voted into office, as their vice presidential nominees further indicate that they would favor a shift toward Beijing. This election has become a referendum on whether Taiwan citizens want to remain free or to kowtow to Beijing.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 60% chance that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) will win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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