Kyiv Attacked as British, German Tanks Arrive in Ukraine

Image copyright: PA Images [via The Independent]

The Facts

  • A drone attack was launched on the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv early on Tuesday. However, the country's air force said its pilots and missile defenses destroyed all 13 of Russia's Shahed drones, intercepting them before they could reach their intended targets.

  • A further two drones were reported shot down in the Dnipropetrovsk region. However, one drone was able to evade air defenses and reportedly struck the premises of a private business, causing a fire that reports suggest spread over 4K square meters.


The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Western tanks — even many of the older models — have a great track record of defeating the Soviet-era armored vehicles that Russia keeps sending into battle. The delivery of British and German tanks, along with the arrival of US Abrams tanks set to take place soon, could provide Kyiv with a formidable and invaluable asset in the ongoing fight against invading Russian forces.

Pro-Russia narrative

The delivery of western-made tanks to Ukraine risks backfiring against the country's allies. Russian forces in the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) are currently waiting for the vehicles to appear on the battlefield so that they can capture and study them, thereby improving Russia's ability to fight the tanks more effectively in the future. This move will give Russia's military great insight into the technology being used by NATO and go a long way to aiding Moscow's military intelligence.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO