Iran Vows Revenge on Israel After IRGC Commander Killed in Syria

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The Facts

  • Iran has warned that Israel will "pay the price" for allegedly killing a top Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) adviser in Syria.

  • Sayyed Razi Mousavi — reportedly responsible for coordinating the military alliance between Iran and Syria, as well as other Iran-backed proxies in the region — was killed after an air strike hit the Sayyida Zeinab district, a suburb of the Syrian capital of Damascus, on Monday.


The Spin

Pro-Iran narrative

The assassination of Sayyed Razi Mousavi was not only a violation of international law but also of Syria's sovereign air space. Iran will respond to these terrorist actions accordingly.

Pro-Israel narrative

While Israel, as a general rule, doesn't comment on attacks inside Syria, its military has the right to respond swiftly and conduct operations to safeguard and protect the country's interests.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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