FDA Approves World's First RSV Vaccine

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The Spin

Narrative A

The approval of the world's first RSV vaccine is a tremendous opportunity to help address a critical public health need. The development of Arexvy is a breakthrough that will save many lives by preventing millions from contracting a highly contagious, life-threatening disease.

Narrative B

It is essential to adequately assess this shot's efficacy and potential association with Guillain-Barré before releasing it for public use. Moreover, additional research is needed to determine if it can be given seasonally, like flu shots, and how effective it will be for RSV patients undergoing specific treatments, such as chemotherapy or organ transplants.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that a universal flu vaccine will be available by May 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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