Early Voting Begins on Australia’s Indigenous Voice Referendum

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The Spin

Narrative A

A Yes vote for the Indigenous Voice referendum is a pathway toward a shared and common future, while a No vote would reaffirm that Indigenous people don’t matter and that they lack societal and governing status. This can only reiterate the hurt that First Nations people have suffered through generations of discrimination, exclusion, and outright theft.

Narrative B

Some Indigenous groups that are disenfranchised and uninterested in the constitutional change will have their hard-fought sovereignty destroyed if the new parliamentary voice is ratified, as it will attempt to assimilate and fold them into a colonial template. Only a No vote will leave their independence to govern their people in tact.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 5% chance that the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum will pass, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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